Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019746 0.021177 0.022664 0.024327 0.026136 0.028047 0.030219
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017231 0.019281 0.021521 0.024157 0.027184 0.030560 0.034627
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015426 0.017810 0.020512 0.023818 0.027773 0.032377 0.038177
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014279 0.016909 0.019982 0.023862 0.028665 0.034461 0.042049
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013191 0.015952 0.019259 0.023548 0.029014 0.035813 0.045017
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012217 0.015041 0.018499 0.023089 0.029088 0.036755 0.047445
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011490 0.014379 0.017986 0.022877 0.029421 0.037996 0.050291
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010849 0.013778 0.017502 0.022650 0.029686 0.039124 0.053010
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010179 0.013098 0.016867 0.022167 0.029552 0.039669 0.054910
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009841 0.012832 0.016758 0.022377 0.030364 0.041547 0.058815
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009448 0.012469 0.016491 0.022343 0.030815 0.042916 0.062038
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009185 0.012266 0.016429 0.022584 0.031658 0.044884 0.066276
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008766 0.011831 0.016026 0.022319 0.031752 0.045757 0.068894
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008430 0.011497 0.015750 0.022221 0.032082 0.046994 0.072167
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008059 0.011096 0.015356 0.021925 0.032087 0.047719 0.074640
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007814 0.010865 0.015197 0.021967 0.032607 0.049270 0.078575
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007494 0.010509 0.014837 0.021683 0.032593 0.049953 0.081068
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007158 0.010118 0.014407 0.021267 0.032342 0.050225 0.082848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006903 0.009836 0.014129 0.021074 0.032437 0.051068 0.085682
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006660 0.009563 0.013852 0.020868 0.032494 0.051839 0.088428
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006372 0.009212 0.013443 0.020429 0.032139 0.051879 0.089815
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006255 0.009117 0.013424 0.020620 0.032849 0.053802 0.094865
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006092 0.008943 0.013275 0.020589 0.033176 0.055059 0.098722